Cardano (ADA) is showing signs of potential recovery after a 73% price decline that occurred following a SuperTrend indicator sell signal on September 25, 2025. According to crypto.news price data, ADA was trading near $0.27 at the time of reporting, with the token down 2.47% over 24 hours. The daily trading range stood between $0.27 and $0.28, while the market cap reached approximately $9.81 billion with 24-hour trading volume near $427.57 million. However, ADA has since dropped 3% in recent trading and is now near support levels around $0.26, mirroring the broader crypto market pullback. The latest technical analysis shows ADA has started forming higher lows on the daily timeframe while momentum indicators continue stabilizing, with buyers attempting to reclaim important short-term resistance zones.
Crypto analyst Ali Martinez identified a fresh buy signal from the SuperTrend indicator on ADA's daily chart, suggesting the exhaustion phase may be ending. As reported by crypto.news, Martinez is watching for a move toward $0.33 as the primary target, with a secondary target near $0.42 if momentum holds. The bullish view depends on ADA staying above the $0.25 support level, which the token is currently trading just above. Crypto analyst Ali Charts recently stated that Cardano may be preparing to "kickstart a new bull rally" after the SuperTrend indicator flashed a fresh buy signal, noting that the same indicator previously identified Cardano's major macro top before ADA later collapsed nearly 73% during the extended correction phase. If bullish momentum strengthens further, ADA could eventually push toward the $0.42 zone in a broader recovery rally.
As reported by Santiment, wallets holding at least 1 million ADA now control 25.09 billion tokens, representing 67.47% of Cardano's existing supply. These large holders have been accumulating positions since December 2023, despite ADA losing 71% of its market cap over the past nine months. The accumulation trend has been steadily rising throughout the market downturn, with on-chain data revealing that Cardano whales have continued aggressively accumulating ADA throughout the correction phase. The data suggests larger investors may be positioning early for a potential long-term recovery cycle while retail sentiment remains relatively cautious. Historically, sustained whale accumulation during weak market phases has often preceded stronger trend reversals across major altcoins, with the latest data showing the accumulation trend has been steadily rising since December 2023.
According to crypto.news analysis, ADA's RSI stands near 53.66 with the signal line around 58.12, keeping momentum above the neutral 50 level but not yet in overbought territory. The MACD remains positive with the MACD line near 0.0055 and the signal line around 0.0045, while the histogram shows buyers still have momentum at about 0.0009. However, the daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) is downsloping near the 50 mark, indicating limited buying pressure, while the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) shows potential bearish crossover. The bars have started to fade, indicating potential weakening in the momentum indicators. The on-chain data reveals that Cardano is beginning to show early signs of structural improvement after spending months trading inside a prolonged bearish trend, with buyers attempting to reclaim important short-term resistance zones.
According to crypto.news data, ADA has gained 10.15% over the past 30 days but remains down 66.97% over the past year. The token had previously confirmed a falling wedge breakout with a possible upside target near $0.32. Additionally, ADA has reclaimed its 20-day, 50-day and 100-day moving averages, while the 200-day SMA near $0.35 remains a major barrier for further upward movement. The cryptocurrency bellwether Bitcoin recently rallied to near $83,000 but has pared gains and currently hovers around $79,800 amid macroeconomic headwinds, with ADA's price trajectory aligning with the broader market weakness. On the downside, the $0.25 region remains the most important support level, with losing that structure potentially weakening bullish momentum and delaying the expected recovery phase.
