
The domestic benchmark indices opened on a cautious note on Monday, April 20, as investor sentiment weakened amid rising uncertainty over US-Iran negotiations. According to reports from LiveMint, the Sensex climbed 314.84 points (0.40%) to 78,808.38 while the Nifty 50 jumped 98.85 points (0.42%) to 24,455.85 by noon. The benchmark indices mirrored the subdued mood in early trade, with uncertainty around peace talks progress unsettling markets despite a temporary ceasefire initially raising hopes of diplomatic resolution.
Adding to market pressure, global oil prices surged sharply amid fears of supply disruptions. As reported by LiveMint, Brent crude jumped 4.72% to USD 94.65 per barrel while WTI crude rose 5.51% to USD 88.47, intensifying inflation concerns and putting additional strain on equity valuations. This surge in oil prices has exacerbated concerns about supply disruptions and their impact on global markets.
According to Vinay Rajani, Senior Technical and Derivative Analyst at HDFC Securities, the Nifty 50 has rallied over 10% from its recent swing low of 22,182, decisively surpassing key moving average resistances at the 10-, 20-, and 50-DEMA levels. As reported by LiveMint, the index now eyes its next major hurdle at the 200 DEMA near 24,800. Smaller caps have shown exceptional performance with the Nifty Smallcap 100 and Microcap 250 surging 17% and 20% respectively, though this sharp run has pushed market breadth into extreme overbought territory with 95% of NSE 500 stocks now trading above their 20 DMA.
Vinay Rajani of HDFC Securities has provided specific buy recommendations for two stocks. According to the analysis reported by LiveMint, Action Construction Equipment is recommended at ₹919 with a target of ₹875 and stop-loss at ₹1,000, noting that the stock has recently surpassed 50 DEMA resistance and broken out from a downward sloping trend line. Additionally, Moil is recommended at ₹325 with a target of ₹365 and stop-loss at ₹310, having formed a bullish 'Hammer' candlestick pattern on monthly charts in March 2026.
As reported by LiveMint, traders are advised to book profits in smaller stocks at higher levels this week while Nifty Energy, BSE Power, and Metal indices remain robust on charts. The analysis suggests that while smaller caps have led the charge with significant gains, the extreme overbought conditions warrant caution, with positional support identified at 23,555 for long position accumulation. The recommendation emphasizes that despite geopolitical uncertainties and oil price volatility, certain sectors and individual stocks continue to show technical strength.