XRP is currently trading above $1.0020, maintaining the critical support level that has held for four consecutive touches on the hourly timeframe. According to AMBCrypto, the token has lost the $1.0391 level following a technical breakdown, with RSI falling to 38.50 while the average remains higher at 40.89, reflecting continued downside momentum. The $1.0020 floor is above the mid-range of the descending channel, with bulls defending against a breakdown of the $1 zone. However, the momentum indicator is declining, reinforcing bear strength, and the AI Predictive Flow is flashing that XRP might continue declining despite capital returns. Losing $1.0020 would weaken the recovery case despite favorable whale accumulation patterns and emerging institutional interest.
Whales bought over 72 million XRP tokens in a single day after the recent dip, with whale holdings increasing from 12.09 billion on August 12 to 12.18 billion tokens on the following day. As reported by AMBCrypto, this aggressive buying pattern suggests whales are preparing for a potential bull rally and demonstrates increased confidence in the token's long-term prospects. The million-token wallet count rose by 32 addresses in the past three months, while the market cap dropped approximately 29% over the same period. This whale accumulation pattern strengthens the longer-term accumulation narrative and suggests that institutional and high-net-worth investors are viewing the current price weakness as a buying opportunity. The institutional adoption thesis remains in its early stages, with current flow data reflecting exploratory positioning rather than committed allocation.
Binance whale inflows have dropped to $61 million on a three-month average, marking their lowest level since 2021, according to CryptoQuant contributor Darkfost. The figure stood at $456 million in January 2025 and $355 million in October 2025, making current transfers six to eight times lower than the peaks recorded last year. Net flows remain positive at roughly $18.8 million, meaning large deposits are still exceeding withdrawals, though Darkfost described the decline as a positive development for XRP. The analyst warned that lower selling activity alone cannot confirm a bullish reversal, with the slowdown fitting a market-wide decline in exchange inflows and trading volume.
XRP traded around $1.00 at the time of writing, little changed over 24 hours, but down approximately 3.2% during the past week. The daily chart shows XRP trading below the Bollinger Bands' 20-day middle line at $1.0446, with the daily relative strength index at 36.02, below its signal average of 39.21, indicating weak momentum. A close below the $0.9866 lower Bollinger Band would weaken the $1 support case and expose the area around $0.95. For a recovery, buyers first need to reclaim the Bollinger middle line near $1.045, with the upper band at $1.1025 becoming the next target if the price closes above that level. On the 4-hour chart, XRP has moved inside a falling wedge formed after the July 21 high near $1.165, with the first nearby barrier at the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement around $1.024.
CoinGlass' one-week liquidation heatmap shows several leveraged-position clusters above the current price, with the nearest liquidity concentrated around $1.01, followed by larger pockets between $1.02 and $1.03. The strongest overhead concentrations appear near $1.03 and from approximately $1.045 to $1.05, suggesting that a rebound could accelerate as short liquidations are triggered across these levels. Additional liquidity below the market is visible near $0.98 to $0.99, with a loss of $1 potentially pulling XRP toward that zone. The narrow distance between the current price and the lower band creates the possibility of a short-term bounce, though such a move would remain corrective unless XRP breaks above its declining daily average.
